Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-06 217.718321 244.971192 275.251134 311.559849 354.138752 402.760897 462.875790
2024-10-13 172.665515 207.281780 249.089518 303.948116 375.005822 465.307975 591.007738
2024-10-20 150.139584 187.881005 236.006690 303.094561 396.202698 523.998454 718.463843
2024-10-27 129.451816 166.898536 216.569216 288.991538 394.916911 549.314148 801.765891
2024-11-03 122.080745 162.088891 217.278878 301.492671 431.528709 633.529921 990.772510
2024-11-10 116.839738 159.291153 219.975469 316.551833 473.511695 732.825787 1228.781883
2024-11-17 108.508453 151.027064 213.538194 316.428458 490.773490 793.966099 1414.099246
2024-11-24 99.493498 140.814296 202.966509 308.139664 492.670031 827.878614 1554.809475
2024-12-01 91.890331 132.024910 193.652054 300.612238 494.431573 861.268268 1702.899853
2024-12-08 88.529228 129.440190 193.793980 308.881843 525.649331 956.977117 2018.788867
2024-12-15 84.140841 124.836625 190.164393 310.007171 543.380160 1028.604334 2301.364542
2024-12-22 78.947579 118.527348 183.121408 304.122031 546.364867 1069.048510 2517.297368
2024-12-29 75.037518 114.165505 179.222622 304.025288 561.970212 1143.170682 2862.686829
2025-01-05 70.178026 107.902725 171.562582 296.038167 560.042712 1176.490915 3103.922374
2025-01-12 66.903101 104.077457 167.852948 295.258243 573.524487 1250.525252 3509.871411
2025-01-19 62.037747 97.210365 158.174156 281.608453 556.245525 1242.211415 3631.072168
2025-01-26 61.195311 97.263097 161.055177 293.705314 600.032948 1407.239762 4479.974000
2025-02-02 60.677531 97.834309 164.915046 308.271380 652.392092 1612.292061 5642.811724
2025-02-09 58.352574 94.999444 162.084508 308.152071 668.291318 1713.939340 6429.188739
2025-02-16 55.273932 90.611419 155.946921 300.135416 662.637873 1746.725348 6906.178731
2025-02-23 52.502179 86.640821 150.367882 292.853497 657.946530 1782.069497 7430.506557
2025-03-02 51.588658 86.067129 151.454333 300.853303 696.051385 1974.730290 9040.441948
2025-03-09 50.000175 84.127773 149.653428 301.941772 715.117753 2106.669365 10432.259172